- For a Coalition win Centrebet would pay $1.65 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.10 (unchanged from the previous report). The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 56 per cent.
- For a Coalition win IASBet would pay $1.75 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.05 (unchanged). The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 53.9 per cent.
- SportingBet is paying $1.72 for a Coalition win and $2.05 for a Labor win (was $1.72 and $2.00). The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 54.4 per cent.
- SportsBet is paying $1.70 for a Coalition win and $2.05 for a Labor win (was $1.85 each way). The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 54.7 per cent.
Now a year in politics is a long time, and with the Libs possessing all the human decency of 13th century Mongolian raiders I'm sure that the tide can turn, however I think we are encumbered by Beazley's lackluster opposition. There's that word - OPPOSITION. To oppose does not mean to slightly modify the policies of your rivals and present those as your platform, no, to oppose means to fucking show some balls and speak out when things start to stink. It means speaking out on Iraq. It means speaking out against attacks on our personal freedom. It means standing up for the right of personal choice. Failing to provide a strong, clear alternative to your opponents will often result in a swift rebuke at the ballot box; remind me again how many houses of parliament we currently control?
Don't get me wrong - Beazley isn't as bad as the feckless piece of political flotsam that is Victoria's worst politician ever, Robert Doyle, it is just that he doesn't grab me as being the best thing the left can offer up in terms of leadership. Compare a protest speech of ACTU secretary Greg Combet with anything Beazley can produce and you'll see what I mean.